Game theory: Policy and drug supply
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Game theory: Policy and drug supply
http://www2.criminology.fsu.edu/~jdi/33n1.htm
Drug Control Policy and Smuggling Innovation: A Game-Theoretic Analysis
Christopher P. Krebs, Michael Costelloe, David Jenks
Journal of Drug Issues, 2003.
Drug Control Policy and Smuggling Innovation: A Game-Theoretic Analysis
Christopher P. Krebs, Michael Costelloe, David Jenks
Journal of Drug Issues, 2003.
Noncooperative game theory has been proposed as a research tool to be used in the study of criminal decision-making processes. Despite this offering, game theory has enjoyed very little attention from criminologists. In this study, game theory is applied to a specific crime, drug smuggling, in order to determine if fluctuations in key policy variables have the potential to diminish the expected utility of smuggling drugs, thus encouraging lawful behavior. The simulation proposed herein indicates that decreasing the expected utility of smuggling drugs to a level where lawful behavior is likely to be chosen is an infeasible mission from a policy perspective. Additionally, a recent drug smuggling innovation, known as "black powder," is likely to only increase the expected utility of smuggling drugs. Black powder is a simple industrial cloaking method that renders many surveillance strategies and chemical tests futile. The consequences of black powder and the exchange between drug control agents and drug smugglers are discussed.
cpa475- Posts : 6
Join date : 2009-04-02
dominant strategy: legalization?
I'm not necessarily for or against legalization, but in class we discussed dominant strategy games. In these games, the cost to play was the same regardless of the outcome we chose. Perhaps legalization would have some built in or variable costs (brain cells), but I wonder if, from a payoff standpoint, the dominant strategy would be legalization. It would be the "bomb" to all of smugglers "rock, paper, and scissors." No matter what smuggling technologies they have, it's legal so they lose.
tjhannemann- Posts : 11
Join date : 2009-04-01
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